???? 據(jù)能源新聞2月27日新聞消息稱，荷蘭皇家殼牌公司在其年度液化天然氣市場(chǎng)展望中表示，到2040年，全球液化天然氣(LNG)需求預(yù)計(jì)將翻一番，達(dá)到7億噸。

????去年的需求為3.6億噸，略高于2019年的3.58億噸，盡管冠狀病毒大流行期間的封鎖造成了波動(dòng)。

????殼牌表示，全球液化天然氣價(jià)格在2020年初達(dá)到創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄低點(diǎn)，但在年末收于六年高位。原因是亞洲部分地區(qū)的需求復(fù)蘇，以及供應(yīng)緊張導(dǎo)致冬季采購(gòu)增加。

????預(yù)計(jì)到2040年，亞洲將拉動(dòng)近75%的液化天然氣需求增長(zhǎng)，原因是國(guó)內(nèi)天然氣產(chǎn)量下降，以及液化天然氣替代了排放更高的能源。

????中國(guó)到2060年實(shí)現(xiàn)碳中和的目標(biāo)，預(yù)計(jì)將繼續(xù)推高其液化天然氣需求。

????《展望》顯示，隨著投產(chǎn)的新產(chǎn)量低于此前預(yù)期，供需缺口預(yù)計(jì)將在本十年中葉出現(xiàn)。

????2020年公布的液化天然氣新產(chǎn)能只有300萬(wàn)噸，低于預(yù)期的6000萬(wàn)噸。

????朱佳妮 摘譯自 能源新聞

????原文如下：

????Global LNG demand expected to almost double by 2040 –Shell

????Global liquefied natural gas (LNG) demand is expected to almost double to 700 million tonnes by 2040, Royal Dutch Shell said in its annual LNG market outlook.

????Demand was 360 million tonnes last year, up slightly from 2019's 358 million tonnes, despite volatility caused by lockdowns during the coronavirus pandemic.

????Global LNG prices hit a record low early in 2020 but ended the year at a six-year high as demand in parts of Asia recovered and winter buying increased amid tightened supply, Shell said.

????Asia is expected to drive nearly 75% of LNG demand growth to 2040 as domestic gas production declines and LNG substitutes higher emission energy sources.

????A gap between supply and demand is expected to open in the middle of this decade with less new production coming on stream than previously projected, the outlook showed.

????only 3 million tonnes of new LNG production capacity was announced in 2020, down from an expected 60 million tonnes.