???? 據(jù)4月7日FX Empire報(bào)道，交易員們最擔(dān)心的是，全球經(jīng)濟(jì)的改善是否會(huì)產(chǎn)生足夠的需求，以抵消額外供應(yīng)。美國西德克薩斯中質(zhì)原油和國際基準(zhǔn)布倫特原油期貨價(jià)格周三小幅走高。早盤支撐市場的催化劑是，隨著新冠肺炎疫苗接種的增加，全球經(jīng)濟(jì)增長將更加強(qiáng)勁，加上周二晚些時(shí)候發(fā)布的一份行業(yè)報(bào)告顯示，美國原油庫存上周下降。這種情況下，也許限制價(jià)格的是一份顯示汽油大量增加的報(bào)告。
????格林尼治時(shí)間06:55,5月WTI原油價(jià)格為每桶59.51美元，上漲0.18美元，即0.30%，6月布倫特原油價(jià)格為每桶62.90美元，上漲0.16美元，即0.26%。
????全球經(jīng)濟(jì)強(qiáng)勁增長支撐油價(jià)
????周二公布的數(shù)據(jù)顯示，美國2月份的就業(yè)機(jī)會(huì)升至兩年高位，且就業(yè)人數(shù)增加，這支撐了物價(jià)。此前公布的數(shù)據(jù)顯示，美國3月份服務(wù)業(yè)活動(dòng)觸及紀(jì)錄高位。
????與此同時(shí)，國際貨幣基金組織(IMF）周二再次上調(diào)了全球經(jīng)濟(jì)增長預(yù)期，預(yù)計(jì)今年全球產(chǎn)出將增長6%，反映出美國經(jīng)濟(jì)前景迅速好轉(zhuǎn)。
????美國石油學(xué)會(huì)每周庫存報(bào)告影響油價(jià)
????美國石油學(xué)會(huì)周二晚間公布，截至4月2日的一周原油庫存略有減少261.8萬桶。分析師預(yù)測，本周產(chǎn)量將減少至143.6萬桶，汽油庫存增加455.3萬桶。餾分油庫存繼上周增加259.5萬桶后，本周增加了281萬桶。
????熱情的原油投資者們最擔(dān)心的是，全球經(jīng)濟(jì)迅速改善是否會(huì)產(chǎn)生足夠的需求，以抵消額外供應(yīng)可能對市場造成的沖擊。
????交易員希望疫苗接種的速度超過疫情的傳播速度，但他們也擔(dān)心歐佩克+的產(chǎn)量逐漸增加，以及額外的供應(yīng)可能會(huì)進(jìn)入市場。
????盡管如此，一些分析師對油價(jià)上漲的前景持樂觀態(tài)度。
????澳新銀行（ANZ bank）分析師表示：“對全球經(jīng)濟(jì)前景的樂觀情緒提振了原油市場的人氣。屆時(shí)美國能源信息署(EIA)將發(fā)布庫存報(bào)告，預(yù)計(jì)原油供應(yīng)將減少200萬桶。”
????王佳晶 摘譯自 FX Empire
????原文如下：
????Oil Price Fundamental Daily Forecast – New Supply Worries May Be Capping Gains Ahead of EIA Report
????The big concern for traders is whether the improving global economy will generate enough demand to offset the possibility of additional supply.
????U.S. West Texas Intermediate and international-benchmark Brent crude oil futures are inching higher on Wednesday. The catalysts underpinning the markets early in the session are the prospects for stronger global economic growth amid increased COVID-19 vaccinations and an industry report from late Tuesday that showed U.S. crude inventories fell last week. Perhaps putting a lid on prices was a report showing a large gasoline build.
????At 06:55 GMT, May WTI crude oil is trading $59.51, up $0.18 or +0.30% and June Brent crude oil is at $62.90, up $0.16 or +0.26%.
????Supported by Strong Signs of Global Economic Growth
????Prices are being underpinned as data on Tuesday showed U.S. job openings rose to a two-year high in February while hiring picked up. This followed earlier data showing U.S. services activity touching a record high in March.
????Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund raised its outlook for global economic growth again on Tuesday, forecasting worldwide output would rise 6% this year, reflecting a rapidly brightening outlook for the U.S. economy.
????American Petroleum Institute Weekly Inventories Report
????The API late Tuesday reported a modest draw in crude oil inventories of 2.618 million barrels for the week-ending April 2. Analysts had predicted a smaller draw of 1.436 million barrels for the week.
????The API also reported a build in gasoline inventories of 4.553 million barrels for the week-ending April 2.
????Distillate stocks saw an increase in inventories this week of 2.810 million barrels for the week, after last week’s 2.595-million-barrel increase.
????Daily Forecast
????The big concern for crude oil bulls is whether the rapidly improving global economy will generate enough demand to offset the possibility of additional supply hitting the market.
????Traders are hoping the pace of vaccinations outpace the spread of COVID-19 variants sweeping the world. But they are also worried about the gradual increase in output by OPEC+ and additional supplies that might be brought onto the market should the talks over the Iranian nuclear deal end with lifting U.S. sanctions.
????Nonetheless, some analysts are optimistic about the prospect of higher prices.
????“Optimism on the global economic outlook boosted sentiment in the crude oil market,” analysts from ANZ bank wrote in a note on Wednesday.
????We’re going to release of the Energy Information Administration (EIA) inventories report. It is expected to show a 2.0 million barrel drawdown in crude oil supply.
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