據(jù)石油新聞報(bào)道，國際能源署（IEA）日前在巴黎表示，明年全球石油需求將日增310萬桶，全球石油需求在第4季度前將回到新冠肺炎疫情大流行前的水平，并警告說，如果歐佩克+成員國不作出回應(yīng)“開閘放水”，今年下半年全球石油供需之間可能出現(xiàn)“鴻溝”。
盡管家庭工作和電動(dòng)汽車的采用會(huì)帶來一些影響，但I(xiàn)EA在其月度石油市場報(bào)告中證實(shí)石油需求將復(fù)蘇的預(yù)期。這份報(bào)告是IEA對2022年全球石油市場的首次預(yù)測。
IEA還預(yù)測，歐佩克+生產(chǎn)協(xié)定以外的國家明年的石油產(chǎn)量將日增加160萬桶，明年年中將達(dá)到新冠肺炎疫情大流行前的水平，以美國為首，將日增97萬桶，但明年石油產(chǎn)量增加也得到巴西和挪威的支持。
IEA呼吁歐佩克+成員國“開閘放水”，因?yàn)轭A(yù)計(jì)今年下半年全球石油供需將出現(xiàn)缺口，此前歐佩克+為應(yīng)對去年的油價(jià)暴跌而進(jìn)行了一段時(shí)間的嚴(yán)格產(chǎn)量控制。
IEA估計(jì)，歐佩克5月份的石油日產(chǎn)量為2543萬桶，而今年下半年的預(yù)期石油日產(chǎn)量為2830萬桶，與上個(gè)月的報(bào)告相比，其對石油產(chǎn)量的預(yù)估略有下降。
李峻 編譯自 石油新聞
原文如下：
IEA urges OPEC+ to 'open the taps' as global demand seen rising 3.1 mil b/d in 2022
Global oil demand is set to rise by 3.1 million b/d in 2022, returning to pre-pandemic levels by the fourth quarter, the International Energy Agency said June 11, warning that a "chasm" could open between supply and demand in the second half of this year if OPEC+ nations do not respond.
In its monthly oil market report, providing its first projections for 2022, the IEA confirmed expectations of recovery in oil demand despite some impact from home working and electric vehicle adoption.
It also forecast oil output by countries outside the OPEC+ production pact would rise by 1.6 million b/d next year, hitting pre-pandemic levels mid-year, led by the US, with an increase of 970,000 b/d, but also supported by Brazil and Norway.
It called on OPEC+ countries to "open the taps" due to the expected gap between demand and supply in the second half of this year, following a period of stringent output control by the group in response to last year's price crash.
It estimated OPEC production in May at 25.43 million b/d, compared with an anticipated "call" for OPEC crude of 28.3 million b/d in the second half of the year, a slight downward reduction in its estimate of the call compared with last month's report.
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