據(jù)6月28日Rigzone消息：油價(jià)穩(wěn)定在2018年以來的最高水平附近，本周的歐佩克+會(huì)議預(yù)計(jì)將帶來供應(yīng)增長，而供應(yīng)增長將趕不上全球需求復(fù)蘇的步伐。

　　上周五上漲1%后，紐約期貨交易價(jià)格接近每桶74美元。繼今年油價(jià)上漲50%后，歐佩克及其盟友將于周四舉行會(huì)議。彭博社的一項(xiàng)調(diào)查顯示，產(chǎn)油國可能決定在8月份將日產(chǎn)量提高55萬桶，但這僅相當(dāng)于歐佩克+預(yù)計(jì)的本月全球供應(yīng)赤字的四分之一。

　　隨著美國、歐洲等主要能源市場從疫情中迅速反彈，導(dǎo)致流動(dòng)性增加，交通燃料消費(fèi)增加，油價(jià)今年出現(xiàn)反彈。經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇也消耗了過剩的庫存，國際能源署(IEA)敦促歐佩克+恢復(fù)更多供應(yīng)，以保持市場平衡。

　　價(jià)格

　　倫敦時(shí)間上午10點(diǎn)19分，西德克薩斯中質(zhì)原油8月交貨價(jià)格小幅上漲2美分，至每桶74.07美元。

　　早些時(shí)候，期貨價(jià)格上漲0.5%，至74.45美元，為2018年10月以來的最高水平。

　　8月份交割的布倫特原油價(jià)格下跌2美分，至每桶76.16美元。

　　石油市場的結(jié)構(gòu)繼續(xù)表明供應(yīng)趨緊。8月布倫特原油期貨價(jià)格比9月高出84美分，這是一種被稱為現(xiàn)貨溢價(jià)的看漲結(jié)構(gòu)。

　　與此同時(shí)，在疫情期間積累起來的海上原油儲(chǔ)備繼續(xù)減少。根據(jù)Vortexa的數(shù)據(jù)，上周庫存下降了17%，為2020年初以來的最低水平。

　　馮娟 摘譯自 Rigzone

　　原文如下：

　　Oil Steady as OPEC+ Hike Expected to Lag Behind Demand

　　Oil held steady near the highest level since 2018, with an OPEC+ meeting this week expected to bring supply increases that won’t keep pace with the global demand recovery.

　　Futures in New York traded near $74 a barrel after rising 1% on Friday. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies will meet Thursday following a 50% gain in prices this year. Producers may decide to boost output by 550,000 barrels a day in August, a Bloomberg survey shows, but that’s barely a quarter of the global deficit that OPEC+ anticipates during the month.

　　“Crude oil trades steady, with market participants expecting OPEC+ will keep supplies tight enough to support current levels,” said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank A/S. “With virus uncertainties due to the highly contagious delta strain and questions about an Iran nuclear deal hanging over the market, the group may opt for caution,” hence current price strength.

　　Oil has rallied this year as a rapid rebound from Covid-19 in major energy markets such as the U.S., Europe has led to increased mobility and greater consumption of transport fuels. The recovery has also drained bloated stockpiles, and the International Energy Agency has urged OPEC+ to return more supply to keep markets balanced.

　　Prices

　　West Texas Intermediate for August delivery edged up 2 cents to $74.07 a barrel at 10:19 a.m. London time.

　　Earlier, futures rose as much as 0.5% to $74.45, the highest since October 2018.

　　Brent for August settlement lost 2 cents to $76.16 a barrel.

　　The oil market’s structure continues to indicate tighter supply. Brent futures for August are 84 cents more expensive than those for September, a bullish structure known as backwardation.

　　All the while, the glut of crude stored at sea which built up during the pandemic continues to shrink. The stockpile fell 17% last week, according to Vortexa data, the lowest since early 2020.

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