據(jù)今日油價(jià)網(wǎng)站3月16日消息：能源信息管理署（EIA）周三表示，未來幾個(gè)月，油價(jià)將繼續(xù)高于每桶100美元。

EIA上周在其最新的短期能源展望（STEO）中表示，布倫特原油今年的平均價(jià)格預(yù)計(jì)為每桶105.22美元，大大高于2月份82.87美元的預(yù)測。

在上周發(fā)布的3月份STEO報(bào)告中，EIA表示，預(yù)計(jì)布倫特原油3月份的平均價(jià)格為每桶117美元，今年第二季度將為每桶116美元，2022年下半年為每桶102美元。

美國基準(zhǔn)WTI原油本月的平均價(jià)格為每桶113美元，2022年第二季度的平均價(jià)格將為每桶112美元。

周三早些時(shí)候，在EIA庫存報(bào)告之前，WTI上漲2%，超過98美元；布倫特原油上漲1.6%，達(dá)到101.46美元。

然而，EIA的油價(jià)預(yù)測由于各種因素，不確定性程度會增加。

目前的布倫特原油價(jià)格預(yù)測也提高了對美國零售汽油價(jià)格的預(yù)測，EIA預(yù)計(jì)本月的平均價(jià)格為4.00美元/加侖，并在5月繼續(xù)上升至4.12美元/加侖的預(yù)測高點(diǎn)，然后在今年剩余時(shí)間內(nèi)逐漸下降。

美國常規(guī)汽油零售價(jià)格今年平均為3.79美元/加侖，2023年為3.33美元/加侖。EIA稱，如果實(shí)現(xiàn)這一目標(biāo)，2022年的平均汽油零售價(jià)格將是經(jīng)過通脹調(diào)整后的2014年以來的最高平均價(jià)格。

根據(jù)美國汽車協(xié)會的數(shù)據(jù)，截至3月16日，全國平均汽油價(jià)格為4.305美元/加侖。

美國汽車協(xié)會發(fā)言人安德魯·格羅斯周一表示：“這場戰(zhàn)爭正在攪亂本已緊張的全球石油市場，使我們很難確定油價(jià)是接近峰值，還是繼續(xù)走高，這一切都將取決于油價(jià)的走向。”

王磊 摘譯自 今日油價(jià)

原文如下：

EIA: Oil Prices Will Remain Above $100 For Months

Oil prices will remain higher than $100 per barrel in the coming months, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday.

Brent Crude prices are expected to average $105.22 per barrel this year, the EIA said in its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) last week, significantly raising its February forecast of $82.87.

In its March STEO last week, the EIA said it expects Brent Crude prices to average $117 a barrel in March, $116 for the second quarter of this year, and $102 per barrel in the second half of 2022. 

WTI Crude, the U.S. benchmark, is set to average $113 a barrel this month and $112 per barrel for the second quarter of 2022.

Early on Wednesday, before the EIA inventory report, WTI was up 2% at over $98, and Brent was rising by 1.6% to $101.46.

EIA’s oil price forecast, however, “is subject to heightened levels of uncertainty due to various factors,” the administration said. 

The current forecast Brent price also increased the forecast for the U.S. retail gasoline price, which the EIA expects to average $4.00/gal this month and continue rising to a forecast high of $4.12/gal in May before gradually falling through the rest of the year. The U.S. regular retail gasoline price is now seen to average $3.79/gal this year and $3.33/gal in 2023. If realized, the average 2022 retail gasoline price would be the highest average price since 2014, after adjusting for inflation, the EIA said.

As of March 16, the national average gasoline price was $4.305/gal, according to AAA data.

“This war is roiling an already tight global oil market and making it hard to determine if we are near a peak for pump prices, or if they keep grinding higher. It all depends on the direction of oil prices,” Andrew Gross, AAA spokesperson, said on Monday.