據(jù)美國油價網(wǎng)2022年6月13日報道，美國能源信息署（EIA）周一發(fā)布的最新鉆井生產(chǎn)力報告顯示，7月份美國7個最高產(chǎn)頁巖盆地的頁巖產(chǎn)量將日增14.3萬桶，至891萬桶。 

根據(jù)EIA公布的統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù)，這將是自2020年3月以來最大的單月增產(chǎn)。

預(yù)計7月份頁巖產(chǎn)量增幅最大的是二疊紀(jì)盆地，從今年6月的523.2萬桶/天增加8.4萬桶/天，至531.6萬桶/天。EIA預(yù)測，鷹福特盆地的頁巖產(chǎn)量將在7月份日增2.8萬桶/天，達到118萬桶。  

在天然氣方面，EIA估計從6月到7月美國頁巖氣產(chǎn)量將日增7.81億立方英尺。增幅最大的是阿巴拉契亞地區(qū)，每天將增加2.31億立方英尺，其次是海恩斯維爾，7月份每天應(yīng)該增加2.26億立方英尺。

EIA在鉆井生產(chǎn)力報告中還估計，美國已開鉆但未完鉆（DUC）井的數(shù)量從4月份的4295口下降到5月份的4249口，這是自EIA開始收集該數(shù)據(jù)以來的最低水平。自2020年7月以來，DUC的數(shù)量一直在穩(wěn)步下降，當(dāng)時DUC的數(shù)量是今天的兩倍多。

由于汽油價格飆升，美國通貨膨脹達到40年來的最高點，美國頁巖生產(chǎn)商在本季度受到了高度關(guān)注。由于汽油價格可能達到每加侖6美元，美國政府正尋求大幅增產(chǎn)。 

在EIA之前的鉆井生產(chǎn)力報告中，該機構(gòu)曾估計，6月份美國7大頁巖盆地的日總產(chǎn)量將增加14.2萬桶，達到876.1萬桶，比6月份實際數(shù)字高出3000桶。 

李峻 編譯自 美國油價網(wǎng)

原文如下：

American Shale Drillers Set To Boost Production In July

U.S. Shale production in the seven most prolific shale basins is set to increase 143,000 bpd in July to 8.91 million bpd, according to the Energy Information Administration’s latest Drilling Productivity Report published on Monday.

It would be the largest monthly production increase since March 2020, according to EIA data.

The largest jump is expected to come from the Permian basin, increasing by 84,000 bpd from an estimated 5.232 million bpd in June 2022 to 5.316 million bpd next month. The EIA has forecast that the second largest gainer will be the Eagle Ford, which it expects will see an increase of 28,000 bpd, to 1.180 million bpd in July.

On the natural gas front, the EIA estimates an increase in productivity from June to July, with an uptick of 781 million cubic feet per day. The biggest gains are set to be in Appalachia, which will see an increase of 231 million cubic feet per day, followed by Haynesville, which should be up 226 million cubic feet per day in July. 

The EIA also estimated in the Drilling Productivity Report that Drilled but Uncompleted (DUC) wells had slipped from 4,295 in April to 4,249 in May—the lowest it’s been since the EIA started collecting data. The DUC count has been steadily declining since July 2020 when the DUC count was more than double what it is today.

American shale producers are under high-profile scrutiny this quarter, as gasoline prices soar and inflation hits a four-decade high. Washington is looking for big production increase numbers as gasoline prices threaten to reach $6 per gallon. 

In the EIA’s previous DPR, the agency had estimated that total production from the seven major U.S. shale basins would rise by 142,000 in June to reach 8.761 million bpd—3,000 bpd above where June figures actually landed.