據(jù)油價(jià)網(wǎng)7月13日消息，根據(jù)俄羅斯聯(lián)邦統(tǒng)計(jì)局(Rosstat)首次發(fā)布的此類評(píng)估，石油和天然氣行業(yè)在俄羅斯經(jīng)濟(jì)中的份額從2019年的19.2%下降至2020年的15%。

　　根據(jù)統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)，2018年的這一比例甚至高于2019年，為21.1%。分析人士表示，這與他們?cè)诒局芏砹_斯聯(lián)邦統(tǒng)計(jì)局公布官方數(shù)據(jù)之前的估計(jì)大致相符。

　　據(jù)加拿大皇家銀行(RBC)根據(jù)俄羅斯去年國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值(GDP)數(shù)據(jù)估算，2020年，石油和天然氣在俄羅斯GDP中創(chuàng)造了2190億美元(16.3萬(wàn)億俄羅斯盧布)。

　　俄羅斯斯科爾科沃能源中心專家Ekaterina Grushevenko對(duì)加拿大皇家銀行表示，俄羅斯油氣行業(yè)在總體GDP中所占的份額與其他主要石油生產(chǎn)國(guó)平均15%至20%的估計(jì)基本一致。

　　例如,據(jù)專家稱，石油和天然氣的份額占美國(guó)GDP的8%,占沙特GDP的50%,占挪威的GDP的14%,占哈薩克斯坦GDP的13.3%,占阿聯(lián)酋的30%和加拿大的不到10%。

　　俄羅斯外貿(mào)銀行(VTB Capital)首席經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家Alex Isakov對(duì)加拿大皇家銀行表示:“俄羅斯聯(lián)邦統(tǒng)計(jì)局公布的石油和天然氣在俄羅斯國(guó)GDP中所占份額的數(shù)據(jù)與我們的估計(jì)完全一致。”

　　俄羅斯新經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院金融學(xué)教授Oleg Shibanov告訴RBC,俄羅斯此前所認(rèn)為的是，石油和天然氣占俄羅斯GDP的一半左右，但這更有可能是因?yàn)榛剂铣隹诩s占俄羅斯所有出口的 50-60%。

　　裘寅 編譯自 油價(jià)網(wǎng)

　　原文如下：

　　Oil & Gas Share Of Russia’s GDP Dropped To 15% In 2020

　　The share of the oil and gas industry in Russia’s economy declined to 15 percent in 2020, down from 19.2 percent in 2019, according to a first such assessment published by the Russian statistics agency Rosstat.

　　Back in 2018, this share was even higher than in 2019, at 21.1 percent, according to the statistics, which analysts say is generally in line with what they were estimating before the publication of the official Rosstat data this week.

　　In 2020, oil and gas generated US$219 billion (16.3 trillion Russian rubles) of Russia’s gross domestic product, according to estimates by Russian outlet RBC based on Russian GDP data for last year.

　　The Russian oil and gas industry’s share of the overall GDP is generally in line with the average 15-20 percent estimate for other major oil producers, Ekaterina Grushevenko, expert at the Skolkovo energy center in Russia, told RBC.

　　For example, the share of oil and gas makes 8 percent of U.S. GDP, a massive 50 percent of Saudi GDP, 14 percent of Norway’s GDP, 13.3 percent of Kazakhstan’s GDP, 30 percent of the GDP of the United Arab Emirates (UAE), and less than 10 percent in Canada, according to the expert.

　　“The data published by the Russian statistics office about the share of oil and gas in Russian GDP is fully in line with our estimates,” Alex Isakov, Chief Economist at VTB Capital, told the RBC outlet.

　　The perception in Russia is that oil and gas makes up around half of Russia’s GDP, but this is more likely due to the fact that fossil fuel exports account for around 50-60 percent of all Russian exports, Oleg Shibanov, finance professor at the New Economic School in Russia, told RBC.

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