據(jù)1月19日Market Watch報(bào)道，由于對疫情的免疫率不斷提高，以及最近的奧密克戎危機(jī)沒有被證明足夠嚴(yán)重到需要恢復(fù)嚴(yán)格的封鎖措施，今年全球石油需求將超過疫情前水平。

IEA在其月度石油市場報(bào)告中，將未來一年石油需求增長預(yù)測提高了20萬桶/天，達(dá)到330萬桶/天。這個(gè)總部設(shè)在巴黎的機(jī)構(gòu)還將2021年需求增長預(yù)測上調(diào)了20萬桶/天，達(dá)到550萬桶/天。

IEA樂觀的預(yù)測是有跡象可循的，最近奧密克戎傳播速度更快了，但致命性更低，提高了全球經(jīng)濟(jì)對病毒的抵御能力，這讓各國繼續(xù)走逐步減少封鎖限制的道路。

IEA表示，"新冠肺炎病例在全球范圍內(nèi)呈爆炸性增長，但各國政府為控制疫情所采取的措施沒有疫情爆發(fā)早期那么嚴(yán)重，它們對經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)和石油需求的影響仍然相對較小。

王佳晶 摘譯自 Market Watch

原文如下：

IEA sees global oil demand topping pre-pandemic levels in 2022

Global oil demand will exceed pre-pandemic levels this year thanks to growing Covid-19 immunization rates and as recent virus waves haven’t proved severe enough to warrant a return to strict lockdown measures, the International Energy Agency said Wednesday.

In its monthly oil market report, the IEA hiked its oil demand growth forecast for the coming year by 200,000 barrels a day, to 3.3 million barrels a day. The Paris-based agency also raised its demand growth forecasts for 2021 by 200,000 barrels a day to 5.5 million barrels a day.

Factoring in the IEA’s more optimistic forecasts are signs that recent coronavirus variants have been faster spreading but less fatal, helping boost global economic resilience to the virus, and allowing states to continue on a path of gradually winding down lockdown restrictions.

“The number of Covid cases is exploding world-wide but measures taken by governments to contain the virus are less severe than during earlier waves and their impact on economic activity and oil demand remain relatively subdued,” the IEA said.

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