歐佩克技術(shù)委員會已將今年全球石油日需求預(yù)測下調(diào)20萬桶  

歐佩克預(yù)計今年全球石油日需求將增加340萬桶  

歐佩克+預(yù)計不會在本周四舉行的會議上大幅提高產(chǎn)量上限 

據(jù)美國油價網(wǎng)6月1日報道，能源情報網(wǎng)表示，在周四的歐佩克+聯(lián)盟會議召開之前，歐佩克+聯(lián)盟的技術(shù)委員會將今年全球石油日需求預(yù)測下調(diào)20萬桶。  

歐佩克周三表示，在聯(lián)合部長級監(jiān)督委員會(JMMC)周四召開會議之前，聯(lián)合技術(shù)委員會(JTC)6月1日舉行了定期會議，審查石油市場的發(fā)展情況，隨后歐佩克+部長級會議將舉行，但沒有提供討論的細節(jié)。 

根據(jù)JTC審查的一份報告，今年全球石油需求預(yù)計將日增340萬桶，地緣政治局勢和疫情的發(fā)展被認(rèn)為是預(yù)測的關(guān)鍵風(fēng)險。

5月份，歐佩克連續(xù)第二個月下調(diào)其對今年全球石油需求增長預(yù)期。歐佩克在5月中旬說，全球石油日需求增長將比4月份報告中的預(yù)期減少31萬桶。

歐佩克+將于周四召開會議，外界普遍預(yù)計該組織將在決定7月份產(chǎn)量水平時批準(zhǔn)石油產(chǎn)量的溫和月度增長。盡管歐盟禁止從大國進口大部分石油，但根據(jù)過去幾天的大量報道，歐佩克+聯(lián)盟不太可能超出計劃的增產(chǎn)配額。

《華爾街日報》6月1日援引歐佩克代表的話報道說，部分成員國正在考慮將大國排除在限制各成員國原油產(chǎn)量的歐佩克+協(xié)議之外的可能性。

暫停大國在歐佩克+中的角色可能會讓其他成員國以更快的速度提高石油產(chǎn)量，盡管只有少數(shù)歐佩克成員國被認(rèn)為有能力在當(dāng)前協(xié)議允許的范圍內(nèi)盡快提高產(chǎn)量。 

李峻 編譯自 美國油價網(wǎng)

原文如下：

OPEC+ Cuts Global Oil Demand Forecast For This Year

OPEC's technical panel has cut the oil demand forecast by 200,000 bpd for 2022.

OPEC now sees global demand grow by 3.4 million bpd this year.

OPEC+ is not expected to significantly raise its production cap at its meeting this Thursday.

The technical panel of the OPEC+ group has reduced its global oil demand forecast for 2022 by 200,000 barrels per day (bpd) ahead of the alliance’s meeting on Thursday, Energy Intelligence reports.

The Joint Technical Committee (JTC) held its regular meeting today to review oil market developments ahead of Thursday’s meeting of the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) that would be followed by the OPEC+ ministerial meeting, OPEC said on Wednesday, without providing details of the discussions.

According to a report for the JTC to review, global oil demand is now expected to grow by 3.4 million bpd this year, with the geopolitical situation and COVID developments cited as key risks to the forecast, Energy Intelligence reports.

Last month, OPEC revised down its global oil demand growth estimate for 2022 a second month running. OPEC said in the middle of May that oil demand would grow by 310,000 fewer barrels per day than the growth anticipated in the April report.

OPEC+ meets on Thursday, and it is widely expected to rubberstamp its moderate monthly increases in oil production when it decides output levels for July. Despite the EU ban on most the world’s largest oil producer's oil imports, the alliance is unlikely to increase production quotas more than planned, according to numerous reports of the past few days.

Some OPEC members are mulling over the possibility of suspending the world’s largest oil producer from the OPEC+ deal that limits the amount of crude oil that each member can produce, the Wall Street Journal reported on Tuesday, citing OPEC delegates.

Suspending the world’s largest oil producer’s role in the group could allow other members to increase oil production at a quicker pace—although there are only a few OPEC members believed to have the capacity to ramp up production as quickly as the current deal allows.